U.S mortgage rates are on the rise, leading to higher defect rates due to more fraud and misrepresentation in mortgage loan applications.“We have seen this before, in 2013, as mortgage rates rise, so does overall defect, fraud, and misrepresentation risk,” said Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American. In the last year the defect index has risen 20.3% since December 2017, although the overall defect index is still down 18.6% since its high point in 2013 . The defect idex for refinance transactions rose 21.1% since last year and the purchase transaction rose 12.3% since last year.
As stated in the article, “Much of the elevated risk can be attributed to an increase in the share of purchase mortgage transactions. It’s possible that all economists agree, that mortgage rates will increase in 2018, which should increase the market share of purchase mortgage transactions, putting upward pressure on the overall risk of defect, fraud, and misrepresentation.” The increase in purchase contracts stems from the rise in mortgage rates that have reduced the consumer benefit of refinancing their existing loans. With the rising mortgage rates the share of refinance transactions in overall mortgage transactions is predicted to decline in 2018 leading to more risk and higher a defect index.
Click here to read the article.
The top three hottest housing markets in the U.S for January are located here in the Bay Area with San Francisco topping the list followed closely by San jose and Vallejo. Other Bay Area markets that made the top of the list this month were Santa Rosa ranked 7th, and Santa Cruz ranked 18 which has moved up 9 spots since last month. A total 13 out of the 20 hottest housing markets in the U.S for January are located in California.
Placement on the list was based on number of listing views in each market and the number of days homes spend on the market. Recent movements and changes on the list can be attributed to, “A strong stock market run, new tax laws, and a government shutdown have given buyers and sellers plenty to digest as they come to terms with the new economic landscape and their personal situation,” said Javier Vivas, director of economic research at Realtor.com. According to data released with the list of hottest housing markets, approximately 365,000 new listings are expected to hit the market in February, showing a 3 percent increase over last year. Click here to go to full article.
Pacific Appraisers is excited to have Ryan Whitelaw, MAI attending the Monterey Bay Economic Partnership 3rd Annual conference on November 8th, 2017. Some of the topics of discussion will be:
- Transforming Our Downtowns: Creating Walkable, Livable Communities,
- Monterey Bay Region: Leading the Way in Employer Sponsored Housing,
- Maximizing the Region’s Transportation Infrastructure
Click here to see more on this upcoming event.
There is a new trend emerging. Foreign investors have increased the percentage of residential real estate purchases by 49% from the previous year. See full article here.
As appraisers we have seen the trend of high investor purchases over the last 8 years but did not have great data as to what extent foreign investors played in this role. It is clear that over the last year they have played a much bigger role than in previous years.
A partial interest discount is allowable by the IRS when there is less than a 100% interest in the ownership of the Real Estate. This applies to the business entities that own real estate as well. The discount relates to the lack of control over the operation of the real estate and the lack of marketability due to the challenges with selling an interest that is not easily financeable.
Typically, discounts apply to the gifting of a fractional interest or death of an individual that owns a fractional interest in real estate. Discounts for lack of control and marketability have been upheld by the courts and therefore should be considered when valuing a fractional ownership interest. The IRS requires the appraisal to be done by a qualified appraiser.
Pacific Appraisers has experts in both the residential and commercial real estate valuation. For more information or questions please contact Shain Holden at 831-607-3800.
Zillow came out with their median home values over the last year as well as their prediction for what home values will be over the next year. See below:
The median home value in California is $490,100. California home values have gone up 6.9% over the past year and Zillow predicts they will rise 1.5% within the next year. The median list price per square foot in California is $281. The median price of homes currently listed in California is $473,900. The median rent price in California is $2,500. Click here to read the full zillow article.
Bay Area home prices jumped 11% compared to a year earlier. With little supply and high demand the housing market continues its robust price gains. Click on the link to read the full article: http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2017/03/24/bay-area-home-prices-pop-oakland-houses-sell-fast.html
Ryan Whitelaw, MAI has created a video to help borrowers, trustees, heirs, attorneys, and accountants know what items the commercial appraiser will need in order to best perform a commercial appraisal. Please click here to see the video: https://youtu.be/WvGCBSbf3ys
Tim Edwards, Pacific Appraisers Chief Residential Appraiser, will be co-instructing at the Society of Chief Appraisers conference on November 21st in Oakland. For more details please click here: http://www.societyofchiefappraisers.org/enroll-now/
Pacific Appraisers’ Ryan Whitelaw MAI and team will be attending the Appraisal Institute annual fall conference in San Francisco. See below for more details:
Friday, October 16, 2015
San Francisco Marriott
780 Mission Street (at 4th Street), San Francisco
ANNUAL FALL CONFERENCE celebrates 65 consecutive years in San Francisco!
12 Breakout Sessions featuring over 30 presenters
Retail Market Update
Supporting Residential Adjustments
Medical Marijuana and Commercial Real Estate
Cool Appraisal Technology: Tools, Tips & Tricks
How to Diversify and Build a “Bubble-Proof” Business
Residential Market Update: The Impact of Millennials on the RE Market
Lessons Learned from Very Complex and Highly Unusual Valuation Experiences
Changing the Game: Redevelopment of Sports-Related Venues
Lessons from California Litigation Involving Appraisers
Developing Green and High Performance Real Estate
State of the Profession
Click here for more information.